WTIN20 DEMS 080750 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 08.05.2026 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 08.05.2026 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 08.05.2026. BAY OF BENGAL: A FRESH UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION FORMED OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDED UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 08TH MAY 2026. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER THE CENTRAL & SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW TO MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER THE NORTH BAY OF BENGAL. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS) 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: YESTERDAY\U2019S UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND ADJOINING LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS OFF SOUTH KERALA COAST BECAME LESS MARKED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 08 TH MAY 2026. SCATTERED LOW TO MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER THE EASTCENTRAL & SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KARNATAKA \U2013 KERALA COASTS, LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA, MALDIVES & COMORIN AREA AND SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY REMARKS: NIL.=