FQZA81 FAPR 081800 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. EAST OF 20E ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 08TH OF MAY 2026 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. FORECAST VALID FROM 082200 TO 092200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST : W to NW 35 in the west by the end of the period. 2. MARION-FORTIES EAST : Cyclonic 35 to 40 in the west and north-west at first. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1022 hPa 49s33e Low 997 hPa 38s34e AREA FORECAST: ============== CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the extreme west at first, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 30 in places in the central and southern parts, but 35 in the west by the end of the period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the east at first, otherwise moderate in showers and rain. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the central and western parts at first, with cyclonic swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 in the south-western parts at first, but N to NE 15 to 25 in the east, otherwise variable 05 to 10. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the Central, south-west and south-east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, reaching 4.5m in the south-west at first, with S to SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the southern Parts until mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west at first, with S to SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 05 to 15 in the south, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the north. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, eastern parts, drifting to the north from mid-period, with SE swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the southern parts at first, otherwise cyclonic 15 to 25, reaching 30 to 40 in the west and north-west at first. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor moderate in showers and rain in the north and central parts, spreading to the south by the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0 in the north-west until mid- period, with E to NE swell, but SW in the south-west. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/05/08 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - LOCALLY GALE OVER AMS AND KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/05/08 AT 1200UTC - HIGH 1025 HPA NEAR 33S/59E MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST. - FRONT CF ARRIVING SOON OVER WEST WAM AND WEST CRO. - LOW 989 HPA NEAR 46S/78E WITH ASSOCIATED FRONT, LEAVING SOON THE AREA TO THE EAST. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/05/08 AT 1800UTC TO 26/05/09 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS IN THE WEST, WITH LOCAL THUNDERSTORMS. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3/5, BUT SOUTHWESTERLY 5/6 IN THE SOUTHEAST AT FIRST, SOON INCREASING NORTH TO NORTHEAST 5/6, VERY LOCALLY 7 IN THE WEST WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT, DECREASING NORTHWESTERLY 3/4 IN THE SOUTHWEST AT END. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH IN THE SOUTHEAST. SOUTH SWELL, 2/4 METERS IN EAST. VIS : POOR TO VERY WITH PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS IN THE SOUTHEAST AT FIRST. WIND: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7, FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST, REACHING 8 LOCALLY IN THE SOUTHEAST AT FIRST, SETTLING SOUTHERLY 3 TO 5 IN THE WEST LATER. SEA : VERY ROUGH, BUT ROUGH IN THE NORTHWEST AND HIGH IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST. SOUTHWEST SWELL 3 TO 5 METERS. VIS : POOR WITH PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS IN THE NORTHWEST, LOC THUNDERSTORMS. WIND: VARIABLE ANTICYCLONIC 2/4 AHEAD OF THE FRONT, SETTLING SOON NORTHEAST 5/6 WITH THE FRONT IN THE NORTHWEST, BACKING NORTHWEST 3/4 BEHIND IT IN THE FAR NORTHWEST AT THE END. BUT IN THE EASTERN ZONE, SOUTHWEST 5/6, REACHING 7 AT FIRST. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST. SOUTHWEST SWELL 2 TO 4 METERS. NORTHWEST SWELL 3 METERS IN THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS. WIND: SOUTHWESTERLY 6/7, LOCALLY 8, DECREASING 4/5 IN THE NORTHWEST AT END. BUT CLOCKWISE 3/5 IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST AT START. SEA : VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH, BUT ROUGH IN THE SOUTHEAST AT START. SOUTHWESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 4 METERS. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.