Expires:No;;806742
FXUS64 KMOB 190545
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1245 AM CDT Tue May 19 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Tue May 19 2026

 - A HIGH risk of rip currents is in effect for all area beaches
   today.
 
 - Rain chances increase by mid to late next week, especially over
   the western half of the forecast area.

 - Localized patchy fog will be possible this morning and again
   late tonight into Wednesday morning.
   

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026

An isolated shower or storm is possible today mainly across
south-central Alabama with isolated to scattered showers and
storms possible Wednesday. Thursday isolated to scattered rain and
storm chances shift west of I-65, becoming scattered to locally
numerous west of the I-65 corridor Friday. Best chances Friday
will likely remain confined to southeast Mississippi and interior
southwest Alabama. As we head into the weekend, rain chances
remain elevated as a series of weak shortwaves round the northern
periphery of upper ridging with scattered to locally numerous
showers and thunderstorms possible. Patchy fog can't be ruled out
through this morning and again Wednesday morning, with a few spots
potentially seeing locally dense fog. Better chances for fog
appear to be Wednesday morning across the area. Any fog will
develop late into the overnight hours before lifting fairly
quickly after sunrise.

Outside of the rain chances, temperatures will be warm near or
just above normal for this time of year on both highs and lows
throughout the week and into the weekend. Highs generally fall in
the 85 to 90 range, with some localized lower 90's possible any
given day. Lows will remain in the upper 60's to lower 70's for
most locations each night through the weekend. A High risk of rip
currents today becomes a Moderate risk Wednesday. A Low to
Moderate risk of rip currents will exist Thursday into Friday.
MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Tue May 19 2026

MVFR to IFR ceilings should become IFR to possibly LIFR ceilings 
over the next few hours. Best chance for reduced ceilings will be
mainly west of I-65 and along the I-10 corridor. Low ceilings 
will quickly return to MVFR then VFR tomorrow with a light 
southeasterly flow for the remainder of the forecast. BB-8 

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 111 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026

A light to occasionally moderate southeasterly flow will prevail 
through Saturday. Seas will build slightly through tonight then 
diminish Wednesday into Thursday. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      87  70  87  70 /   0   0  10   0 
Pensacola   84  72  85  72 /   0   0  10   0 
Destin      83  71  84  71 /   0   0  10   0 
Evergreen   91  67  90  67 /  20  10  30  20 
Waynesboro  90  70  89  69 /  10  10  30  20 
Camden      89  69  88  68 /   0  10  30  20 
Crestview   91  67  91  67 /  20   0  30   0 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM CDT this morning through this 
     evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM CDT this morning through this 
     evening for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$